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|"Argo" Fête Yourself: 2013 Oscar Predictions|
|Movies - Feature Stories|
|Written by Mike Schulz|
|Wednesday, 13 February 2013 06:00|
As I only predicted 15 out of 24 categories correctly for the previous Academy Awards, obviously I have some making up to do for my prognostic abilities to again be taken seriously.
Of all freakin’ times to attempt a comeback ... !
Seriously, this is one of those wacky, anomalous years in which nearly anything could happen at the annual Oscar ceremony. (This year’s is scheduled to air locally on ABC’s WQAD-TV affiliate on Sunday, February 24, beginning at 7 p.m.). Argo could win the big prize despite its lack of a Best Director nod, or it could be shut out entirely. (I’m guessing the former.) Lincoln could sweep, or it could be relegated to one lone win from 12 nominations. (Sadly, I’m guessing the latter.) Silver Linings Playbook could score in numerous categories because – like 2011’s The Artist and 2010’s The King’s Speech – it has producer and legendary Oscar hunter Harvey Weinstein on its side, or it ... .
Hmm. Maybe I should’ve given the Weinstein thing more consideration before making these predictions.
Alas, the predictions have been made, and in boldface no less, so I guess there’s no turning back now. I urge you to employ caution if you’re planning to use them for your office’s annual Oscar pool. And you may as well flip a coin on Best Supporting Actor. Preferably a five-sided coin.
At present, Ben Affleck is so beloved in the industry that he probably could’ve directed that tacky, sci-fi script-within-the-script version of Argo and it still would’ve won Best Picture.
Though if, through some miracle, this award’s presenter exclaims, “And the Oscar goes to ... Ben Affleck!”, I won’t be the least bit surprised.
Hail to the chief.
“Gee ... Emmanuelle turns 86 on February 24 ... . We really should get her something nice this year ... .”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
And if this happens, De Niro will have beaten Day-Lewis to a third Oscar by at least an hour. Take that, Brits! USA! USA!
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
One song plus one unbroken take equals one Oscar.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
After big wins from Critics Choice Award (CCA), Golden Globe, and British Academy of Film & Television Arts (BAFTA) voters, Tarantino should be the no-contest choice here. But Amour’s unexpectedly powerful showing in numerous Oscar categories makes me think otherwise. Take that, Americans! Aus-tri-a! Aus-tri-a!
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Kushner’s script, I’m convinced, is a thing of genius, and Russell, despite heavy competition, recently won the BAFTA prize in this category. But Argo is about hostages who are rescued, in part, by a screenplay titled Argo. Academy voters should just give Terrio’s script the Oscar and miniature tights and a cape.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Frankenweenie would be welcome, long-delayed acknowledgment of Tim Burton, and Wreck-It Ralph would be a relatively hip option for a generally unhip Academy. ParaNorman, meanwhile, would just be my choice, so obviously that’s not gonna happen. (Nor will The Pirates!) Let's go with the Golden Globe and BAFTA winner in this category – maybe not a brave prediction, but a Brave prediction nonetheless.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
I wonder if Adele’s new Grammy is looking for a dance partner ... ?
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
“Amour” is French for “love.” What’s French for “such a done deal that there’s no point discussing it”?
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
For the first time ever, I’ve seen all five nominees in this category prior to the ceremony, and am thinking my favorite will actually be the Academy’s favorite, too. Wow. Maybe that does happen on occasion.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Anna Karenina’s Dario Marianelli previously won for 2007’s Atonement. Lincoln’s John Williams has won, like, a million of these things. Argo’s Alexandre Desplat and Skyfall’s Thomas Newman are overdue for Oscar recognition. (The latter ridiculously so.) But thanks in large part to composer Mychael Danna, Life of Pi sounds as good as it looks, and it looks amazing.
Have I mentioned that Life of Pi looks amazing?
BEST FILM EDITING
Generally speaking, the Best Picture winner also wins Best Film Editing. It just didn’t last year ... or the year before that ... . Damn that boldface!
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
I should probably be going with Les Mis or Life of Pi on this – or, quite frankly, The Hobbit or Lincoln – but that theatre set that magically transformed into an entire bloody Tolstoy novel is just too jaw-dropping not to predict.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Fun as it is to imagine a battle royale between dueling Snow Whites, I’m pretty certain another fictional lady has this one in the bag.
BEST SOUND EDITING
A hunch based solely on the presumption that three Oscars for Argo won’t be deemed enough.
BEST SOUND MIXING
Nominated musicals almost always win this category, and will likely continue to even though I know the Les Mis songs by heart and still couldn’t comprehend all the lyrics to that opening number.
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Tony the tiger. I mean, Oscar the tiger.
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
The Hobbit feels too “been there, awarded that.” Anthony Hopkins looked less like Hitch than like a marshmallow with eyes. Les Mis it is, then.
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Missing teens, dying seniors, cancer patients, surgery in Rwanda, America’s economic crisis ... welcome to the Acadamy Awards’ annual happy-fun-time category! What say we go with missing teens this year?
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
A hunch based solely on Curfew being the category’s one English-language nominee. Hey, if I can be lazy, Oscar voters can, too!
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Disney's charming black-and-white entry will likely take it, and Adam & Dog totally deserves it. But if, through some miracle, this award’s presenter exclaims, “And the Oscar goes to ... Ben Affleck!”, I won’t be the least bit surprised.
For an analysis of the tricky Best Picture, Director, Actress, and Supporting Actor races, visit "Oscar-a-a-aziness."
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