The latest Farm Futures survey results show growers plan to increase corn ground in 2013, cut soybeans.

ST. LOUIS, MO., 7:30 A.M., CST, (01/03/2013) ? After three disappointing corn crops in a row, good yields in 2013 will be essential to rebuilding inventories, according to the latest Farm Futures magazine survey.

The extent of that effort takes shape in coming weeks, beginning with USDA's January 11 estimates of 2012 production. The Farm Futures survey showed growers raised 10.62 billion bushels of corn on harvested acreage of 87.5 million and nationwide yields of 121.3 bpa. USDA's November estimate put the crop at 10.725 billion bushels.

Results of the survey were released today at the opening day of the annual Farm Futures Business Summit in St. Louis, attended by more than 400 producers.

"Based on our survey of more than 1,550 growers and the government's own certified acreage data from the Farm Service Agency, it appears production should be lower than previous estimates, said Senior Editor Bryce Knorr, who conducted the research. "This makes good yields and large acreage crucial in 2013 to provide the corn needed by end users in the U.S. and around the world."

Attractive profit margins should convince growers to increase plantings this spring. Producers told Farm Futures they intend to boost corn seedings to 97.75 million in 2013, a little less than 1% more than in 2012.

"While the planting intentions we found were not as big as some predict, it was a substantial increase from our first survey in August, which projected 93 million acres," said Farm Futures Market Analyst Paul Burgener. "The reality of another year with outstanding returns for corn convinced many growers to try more corn on corn, despite their long-term desire to return to more balanced rotations with soybeans."

As a result, the latest survey finds farmers plan to put in 76.84 million acres of soybeans. That would be a little less than the 77.2 million USDA last estimated for 2012, though more than the 76.1 million farmers responding to the survey said they put in last spring. Farm Futures estimate of 2012 production is 2.969 billion, only a few thousand bushels lower than USDA's November projection.

"In August, our survey showed farmers ready to splurge on soybeans, increasing 2013 plantings to 78 million acres," said Knorr. "But soybeans were trading well over $16 a bushel at the time. With new crop prices substantially lower, farmers are again focusing on total returns, giving corn the edge."

USDA issues its first survey-based forecast of 2013 spring crop planting intentions at the end of March, with a preliminary estimate put out in February at its annual outlook forum. The agency will release a survey-based estimate of winter wheat seedings January 11. Farm Futures found growers planted 42.1 million acres of winter wheat in the fall, up 1.8%, with total wheat seedings for 2013 put at 57.16 million, up 2.5%.

Burgener noted the latest winter wheat estimate was down 1 million from the magazine's August survey. "While soft red winter wheat plans were unchanged, dry conditions on the Plains caused hard red winter wheat growers to cut seedings by 800,000 acres from initial intentions," Burgener said. "Those fields could wind up in corn, milo, cotton, millet, sunflowers, or soybeans depending on winter and spring moisture, another wild card the market must consider."

Farm Futures surveyed more than 1,550 growers about their plans from November 23 to December 12.

Survey results by crop:

2012 Crop Production


Corn

Soybeans

Planted

96,641

76,124

Harvested

87,503

75,060

Yield

121.33

39.55

Production

10,616,86

2,969



2013 Crop Planting Intentions
Crop

Acres

Change*

Corn

97.75 million

100.8%
Soybeans

76.84 million

99.5%
All Wheat

57.16 million

102.5%
Spring Wheat

12.9 million

104.8%
Durum

2.2 million

104.8%
Soft Red Winter Wheat

9.6 million

117.7%
Hard Red Winter Wheat

29.0 million

97.0%
White Winter Wheat

3.5 million

105.6%
All Winter Wheat

42.1 million

101.8%

*Corn and soybean change is vs USDA November 2012

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USDA.gov logo

WASHINGTON, Jan. 2, 2012 - Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack today issued the following statement on the Food, Farm and Jobs Bill:

"I am pleased that Congress passed needed middle class tax relief and continued unemployment insurance protection for 2 million unemployed Americans. However, while I am relieved that the agreement reached prevents a spike in the price of dairy and other commodities, I am disappointed Congress has been unable to pass a multi-year reauthorization of the Food, Farm and Jobs bill to give rural America the long-term certainty they need and deserve. I will continue to work with Congress to encourage passage of a reauthorized bill that includes a strong and defensible safety net for producers, expanded rural economic opportunity in the new bio-based economy, significant support for conserving our natural resources, increased commitment to important research, and support for safe and nutritious food for all Americans. I look forward to continuing the effort to get this critical work done."

December 27, 2012
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Jan. 22, 2013:  ISU Scott County Extension Council Meeting, Scott County Extension Office, 7:00 pm

Jan. 29, 2013:  Private Pesticide Applicators Recertification, Scott County Extension Office, 9:30 am-11:30 am

Jan. 29, 2013:  Private Pesticide Applicators Recertification, Scott County Extension Office, 1:30 pm-3:30 pm

Visit our events calendar at our web site: http://dbs.extension.iastate.edu/calendar/
OMAHA, Nebraska - (December 14, 2012) - Farm Credit Services of America (FCSAmerica) is hosting 17 GrowingOn meetings in January.  The purpose is to share information and insights to help producers plan and reduce risk in 2013.

The program will be presented by Steven Johnson, farm management specialist with Iowa State University Extension and Outreach. He will review 2013 planted acres, price and expense outlooks, which will be affected by more than supply and demand fundamentals.

"Even though many producers had disappointing yields because of the drought, we're still experiencing the best of times in row crop farming," said Johnson. "Demand remains strong; and with limited supplies, crop prices will be high in 2013. How high prices rise will largely be influenced by weather in addition to the U.S., Europe and China economies. Input costs for 2013 will be up slightly. Some input cost increases may affect margins for 2013 and 2014. And with the proposed new farm program, crop insurance decisions will be more important than ever."

"Crop insurance ensured many producers will be back in the field next year," said Christa Wilson, vice president-insurance for Farm Credit Services of America in Iowa. "Some producers also learned a painful lesson about crop insurance in 2012. Some didn't know what kind of coverage they had until they had to use their policy. Luckily, 90% of the corn acres in Iowa, Nebraska and South Dakota were insured at 70% yield levels or greater." At GrowingOn, FCSAmerica crop insurance specialists will share the lessons learned in 2012 - what farmers should revisit in 2013 and what new changes will occur that will factor into producers' crop insurance decisions. "Along with product and coverage level decisions, careful consideration should be given to the agent a producer works with in 2013," Wilson advised. "As a financial institution that offers crop insurance, Farm Credit Services of America has an incentive to sell the right insurance coverage.  And since our crop insurance specialists are not commission-based, the options we present each of our customers are based on what's right for them and no one else."

This two and one-half hour program will be held in Newton, Marshalltown, Perry, Eddyville, Mount Pleasant, Davenport, Cedar Rapids, Manchester, Festina, Lenox, Harlan, Storm Lake, Webster City, Carroll, Cedar Falls and Mason City, IA and in Sioux City, NE. Specific time and location information can be found at cropinsurancespecialists.com, by calling the local FCSAmerica office or by calling 1-800-884-FARM. Pre-registration is required.

Farm Credit Services of America is proud to finance the growth of rural America, including the special needs of young and beginning producers. With assets of more than $18 billion, FCSAmerica is one of the region's leading providers of credit and insurance services to farmers, ranchers, agribusiness and rural residents in Iowa, Nebraska, South Dakota and Wyoming. Learn more at fcsamerica.com.

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AMES, Iowa – Average Iowa farmland value is estimated to be $8,296 per acre, an increase of 23.7 percent from 2011, according to results of the Iowa Land Value Survey conducted in November. This is the third year in a row where values have increased more than 15 percent. The 2012 values are historical peaks.

The increase is somewhat higher than results of other recent surveys of Iowa farmland value: the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank estimated an 18 percent increase in Iowa land values from October 2011 to October 2012 and the Iowa Chapter of the Realtors Land Institute estimated a 7.7 percent increase from March to September 2012.

"The difference in survey estimates could be due to values increasing more rapidly in the past few months than earlier in the year. Better than expected crop yields and the level of land sale activity due to the proposed changes in land related taxes contributed to the increasing values," said Mike Duffy, Iowa State University economics professor and extension farm management economist who conducts the survey. "The Iowa State survey samples different populations, and uses different wording than the other surveys. This could also lead to different results especially in times of uncertainty. Even within the Iowa State survey there was considerable variation in the estimates."

O'Brien County had an estimated $12,862 average value, the highest average county value. O'Brien County also had the highest percentage increase and highest dollar increase in value, 35.2 percent and $3,348, respectively. Osceola, Dickinson and Lyon counties also saw 35.2 percent increases. The Northwest Crop Reporting District, which includes all four counties, reported the highest land values at $12,890, an increase of $3,241 (33.6 percent) from 2011. "The 2012 land value survey covers one of the most remarkable years in Iowa land value history," said Duffy. "This is the highest state value recorded by the survey, and the first time county averages have reached levels over $10,000. While this is an interesting time, there is considerable uncertainty surrounding future land values."

Why Iowa farmland values are increasing

Duffy said understanding some of the causes for the current increase in farmland values is helpful in assessing the situation. Farmland values are highly correlated with farm income. As farm income increases, so will land values. In 2005, corn prices averaged $1.94 per bushel in Iowa. The preliminary estimated price for November 2012 is $6.80. Soybean prices changed from $5.54 to $13.70 over the same period. Coming into 2012 there was a general sentiment that prices would decline from their peaks. But, the drought changed this and the prices remained at high levels. How long the high prices will last is unknown.

There has been considerable variation in commodity prices over the past few years, but farm income has increased substantially. The Iowa State economist goes on to say, the increase in income has been the primary cause for the increase in farmland values, but not the only one. "There are other causes for the increase," Duffy said. "Interest rates are at the lowest level in recent memory. Farmland purchased by investors went from 18 percent in 1989 to 39 percent of purchases in 2005, but investor purchases are back to the 1989 level of 18 percent this year after decreasing for the third year in a row."

Another key component is the costs of production. In the past, costs have risen in response to higher commodity prices. This is especially true for rents. Iowa State University estimated costs of crop production have shown a 61 percent increase in the cost per bushel since 2005. Without land, the increase has been 87 percent.

Duffy believes there is still discipline in the land market, while land values have increased 64 percent in the past three years, in 2009 values did decrease by 2.2 percent. Therefore, it is prudent to be mindful of the factors that influence land values. The economist said there are several key components to watch:
  • Weather related problems - both here and around the world
  • Government policies - especially policies related to estate and capital gains tax rates
  • The amount of debt incurred with land acquisition
  • What happens to input costs - land being the residual claimant to any excess profits in agriculture
  • Government monetary policies as they relate to inflation and interest rates
  • The performance of the U.S. economy and economies throughout the world - which impact commodity prices, which in turn impact land values
Overview of 2012 Iowa land values

While the highest county land values were reported in O'Brien County, Decatur County remained the lowest reported land value, $3,242 per acre, and the lowest dollar increase, $521.

Keokuk and Washington Counties had the lowest percentage increase, 14.8 percent, with reported average values of $6,330 and $8,226, respectively.

Low grade land in the state averaged $5,119 per acre and showed a 20.2 percent increase or $862 per acre, while medium grade land averaged $7,773 per acre; high grade land averaged $10,181 per acre. The lowest land value was estimated in the South Central Crop Reporting District, $4,308, while the lowest percentage increase was in the Southeast Crop Reporting District with an 8.2 percent increase. The Northwest Crop Reporting District reported a 36.8 percent increase, the highest district average percentage reported. Maps showing 2012 values, percentage change and comparisons to 2011 data and additional information from Duffy are available at www.extension.iastate.edu/topic/landvalue.

The Iowa Land Value Survey was initiated in 1941 and is sponsored by the Iowa Agriculture and Home Economics Experiment Station, Iowa State University. Only the state average and the district averages are based directly on the Iowa State survey data. The county estimates are derived using a procedure that combines survey results with data from the U.S. Census of Agriculture.

The survey is based on reports by licensed real estate brokers and selected individuals considered knowledgeable of land market conditions. The 2012 survey is based on 486 usable responses providing 663 county land value estimates. The survey is intended to provide information on general land value trends, geographical land price relationships and factors influencing the Iowa land market. It is not intended to provide an estimate for any particular piece of property.

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With nearly 2.5 million cattle in the four-state Driftless Region, extension services in Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin have teamed up to offer a Driftless Region Beef Conference. The first event will be held on Jan. 31 and Feb. 1, 2013, at the Grand River Convention Center in Dubuque, Iowa.

The Driftless Region includes beautiful rolling hills, clean streams and karst soil topography. Conservation of our soils and protection of our waters are best accomplished with much of the land seeded to forage production. That requires cattle to consume these forages. The Driftless Beef Conference will focus on efficient and economic beef and forage production.

The program will begin at 1 p.m. on Jan. 31 and run till 11:45 a.m.on Feb. 1. Some of the key speakers include Dan Shike and Tara Felix, University of Illinois; Matt Spangler, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Amy Radunz, University of Wisconsin - River Falls; and Darrell Peel, Oklahoma State University. Thursday's afternoon program will focus on feed efficiency at all stages of production, with an evening discussion focused on straight versus crossbreeding. Friday morning's program includes three breakout sessions for feedlot operations and three for cow herds.

Registration for the conference is $80 before Jan. 15 or $100 after Jan. 15. Additional information about the conference is available at www.aep.iastate.edu/beef. Registration will open for the conference on Dec. 1.

The Driftless Region Beef Conference is sponsored by the University of Illinois Extension, Iowa State University Extension and Outreach, the University of Minnesota Extension, and University of Wisconsin Extension. The planning team strives to deliver the latest in research-based information regarding the beef cattle industry. For more information or to receive a brochure, contact Denise Schwab at 319-721-9624.

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Washington, D.C. - Congressman Dave Loebsack today announced that he will tour Fairfield Middle School and learn about their Farm to School program on MONDAY, December 10th at 1:00pm. Recently, the Hometown Harvest of Southeast Iowa in Fairfield and Pathfinders Resource Conservation & Development, Inc. received a $100,000 grant from the USDA to provide the school with fresh produce as well as educate students on the importance of locally grown food.  Loebsack will meet with students, teachers and staff from Hometown Harvest and Pathfinders.  Media are invited to attend.

Tour Fairfield Middle School

404 West Filmore Avenue

1:00pm
The production of crossbred calves yields advantages in both heterosis and the blending of desirable traits from two or more breeds. However, the largest economic benefit of crossbreeding to commercial producers comes from having crossbred cows for multiple reasons.

Maternal heterosis improves calf survivability to weaning and increases calf weaning weight. Crossbred cows exhibit improvements in calving rate of nearly 4 percent and an increase in longevity of more than one year due to heterosis. Heterosis results in increases in lifetime productivity of approximately one calf and 600 pounds of calf weaning weight over the lifetime of the cow. Crossbreeding can have positive effects on a ranch's bottom line by not only increasing the quality and gross pay weight of calves produced but also by increasing the durability and productivity of the cow factory.

Traits of most economic value to commercial, self-replacing herds are reproductive traits including age at first calving, reproductive success and replacement rate. These maternal traits are sex-limited, lowly heritable and some are expressed quite late in life. This has precluded replacement heifer selection on these traits, and frustrated genetic progress. In fact, the antagonism between terminal and some maternal and calving traits may have led to negative progress, as positive selection on the terminal traits can result in negative selection on the maternal traits. It has been suggested that U.S. cow-calf producers should have a relative economic emphasis of 47 percent on reproduction, 24 percent on growth, and 30 percent on carcass traits.

So with all these advantages, why doesn't every cattleman practice crossbreeding to capture the added value of heterosis?

Dr. Matt Spangler, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Brian McCulloh, Woodhill Angus in Wisconsin; and Dale Green, Castalia, Iowa seedstock producer, will have a panel discussion on this topic at the upcoming Driftless Region Beef conference Jan. 31 and Feb. 1, 2013, in Dubuque, Iowa.

The conference will begin at 1 p.m. on Jan. 31 and run till 11:45 a.m. on Feb. 1. Thursday's afternoon program will focus on feed efficiency at all stages of production, with an evening discussion focused on straight versus crossbreeding. Friday morning's program includes three breakout sessions for feedlot operations and three for cow herds.

Registration for the conference is $80 before Jan. 15 or $100 after Jan. 15. Additional information about the conference is available at www.aep.iastate.edu/beef .

The Driftless Region Beef Conference is sponsored by the University of Illinois Extension, Iowa State University Extension and Outreach, the University of Minnesota Extension, and University of Wisconsin Extension. The planning team strives to deliver the latest in research-based information regarding the beef cattle industry. For more information or to receive a brochure, contact Denise Schwab at 319-721-9624.

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Temple Grandin, Lowell Cattlett, Excitement Draws Farmers to New Location

WEST DES MOINES, IOWA - Dec. 5, 2012 -- A diverse crowd of farmers, community and business leaders filled the newly-remodeled Vet's Auditorium this week to discuss animal welfare, water quality, changing markets and future trends at the Iowa Farm Bureau Federation (IFBF) 94th Annual Meeting held this week in Des Moines.

IFBF President Craig Hill told members that "Iowa farmers met many challenges in 2012 and thanks to their innovation, were able to overcome drought and market risks."  The future-forward direction of the grassroots organization and Iowa's diverse farmers also brought several key leaders to the Annual Meeting.  Governor Terry Branstad spoke to farmers about the fiscal cliff, regulations, and the newly-unveiled Iowa Nutrient Strategy Plan, which the Governor fully supports.

An in-depth discussion forum on the 2012 Nutrient Management Strategy drew capacity crowds at the IFBF meeting.  Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Bill Northey, Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship (IDALS) Dean Lemke and Iowa State University (ISU) scientist Matt Helmers led the discussion and answered many questions from farmers.   The water quality plan provided several scenarios for conservation measures that would impact nutrient run-off in Iowa, and farther down the Gulf.

Secretary Northey said a science-based voluntary approach to conservation works best with all farmers.   "I do believe now is the time for farmers to find these practices that work in our own operation, to figure out how we each can do a better job; this is voluntary,  science-based, but it does not work if we don't put them on our farms.  We want to tell the story that we are making progress. It's a better alternative than one size fits all regulation that limits choices," said Northey.  Farmers were encouraged to familiarize themselves with the water quality plan and participate in the online public comment period by going to: www.nutrientstrategy.iastate.edu.

The 94th Annual Farm Bureau meeting also crew capacity crowds to hear keynote speakers Temple Grandin and Lowell Cattlett.  Grandin, one of the nation's most-renown animal welfare and livestock handling facility designer, talked about the changing face of farming and consumer expectations of animal welfare.  Her lively, off-the-cuff talk encouraged farmers to travel and 'see how the world sees you' when it comes to animal handling practices on the farm.  She says today's farmers have 'made great strides' in how they care for their animals compared to the 70's and 80's when she first started working with farmers and slaughterhouses.

Economic 'futurist' Lowell Cattlett also energized the Farm Bureau crowd by talking about innovation in technology and health care, and how farmers are ideally positioned to 'blow the doors off' of expectations because of their knack for finding better ways to raise animals, grow crops or feed the world.  He says one day, farmers may be using specially-equipped cell phones to analyze cattle and crop health.

The IFBF meeting brought education opportunities for farmers, celebrated innovation and also covered the business of the day, including leadership elections. For more information about IFBF's 94th Annual Meeting, including a detailed list of award winners, photos and IFBF President Craig Hill's Annual Meeting address, visit www.iowafarmbureau.com.

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About Iowa Farm Bureau

The Iowa Farm Bureau Federation is a grassroots, statewide organization dedicated to enhancing the People, Progress and Pride of Iowa.  More than 153,000 families in Iowa are Farm Bureau members, working together to achieve farm and rural prosperity.  For more information about Farm Bureau and agriculture, visit the newsroom at www.iowafarmbureau.com.

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